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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 44.89% | 27.25% | 27.85% |
| Both teams to score 47.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.53% | 57.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.73% | 78.27% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% | 25.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.65% | 60.35% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.74% | 36.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.95% | 73.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.22% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.25% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 1.9% Total : 27.85% |