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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 50.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Southend United |
| 50.6% | 26.06% | 23.34% |
| Both teams to score 47.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.86% | 56.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.8% | 77.2% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% | 22.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% | 55.69% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% | 39.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.83% | 76.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% 2-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 9.22% 3-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.92% Total : 50.6% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 8.78% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.16% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.33% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.41% Total : 23.34% |