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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 46.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 46.76% | 27.44% | 25.8% |
| Both teams to score 45.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.78% | 59.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.36% | 79.64% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% | 25.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% | 60.16% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.05% | 38.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.32% | 75.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 13.55% 2-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 8.77% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.76% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.5% Total : 25.8% |