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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Salford City |
| 29.5% | 26.4% | 44.1% |
| Both teams to score 50.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.49% | 53.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.98% | 75.02% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.12% | 32.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.55% | 69.45% |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% | 24.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.57% | 58.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.82% 2-1 @ 6.98% 2-0 @ 4.91% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.5% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.4% | 0-1 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 8.02% 1-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.09% |