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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Morecambe |
| 35.69% | 29.02% | 35.29% |
| Both teams to score 44.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.12% | 61.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.35% | 81.65% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% | 32.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.51% | 69.49% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.82% | 33.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.22% | 69.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 12.13% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.69% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.01% | 0-1 @ 12.04% 1-2 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.54% Total : 35.28% |