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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 36.61% | 27.36% | 36.03% |
| Both teams to score 49.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.19% | 55.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.06% | 76.93% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% | 29.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.76% | 65.24% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% | 29.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.32% | 65.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.6% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 7.88% 0-2 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 3.2% 0-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.44% Total : 36.03% |