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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Colchester United |
| 34.27% | 26.53% | 39.2% |
| Both teams to score 52.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.38% | 52.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.73% | 74.27% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% | 29.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.9% | 65.1% |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% | 26.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.62% | 61.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.27% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.66% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 10.24% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.2% |