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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 41.23% | 28.44% | 30.32% |
| Both teams to score 45.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.32% | 60.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.24% | 80.75% |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% | 28.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.16% | 64.84% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.94% | 36.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.16% | 72.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% 2-1 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 8.02% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.59% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 4.17% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.44% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 5.43% 1-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.96% Total : 30.32% |