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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 43.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Morecambe |
| 43.03% | 26.23% | 30.74% |
| Both teams to score 52.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.69% | 52.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.99% | 74.01% |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% | 24.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% | 58.44% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% | 31.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.27% | 67.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.71% Total : 43.02% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 8.78% 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.74% |