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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 41.19% | 27.07% | 31.73% |
| Both teams to score 49.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.7% | 55.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.48% | 76.52% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.57% | 26.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.41% | 61.59% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.8% | 32.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.31% | 68.68% |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 8.54% 2-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.19% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 9.64% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 5.46% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.72% Total : 31.73% |