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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Southend United win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 20.6% | 26.79% | 52.61% |
| Both teams to score 42.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.03% | 60.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.03% | 80.97% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.94% | 45.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.02% | 80.98% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% | 23.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% | 57.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-1 @ 4.87% 2-0 @ 3.35% 3-1 @ 1.29% 3-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.74% Total : 20.6% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.49% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 15.31% 0-2 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-3 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 4.29% 0-4 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-4 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.42% Total : 52.59% |