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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Bradford City |
38.86% | 26.39% | 34.75% |
Both teams to score 52.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.03% | 51.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.29% | 73.71% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% | 26.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% | 61.22% |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.46% | 28.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.67% | 64.33% |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 3.76% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.86% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-2 @ 5.87% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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