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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Bradford City |
| 40.07% | 28.26% | 31.67% |
| Both teams to score 46.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.33% | 59.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.01% | 79.99% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% | 29.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.95% | 65.04% |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% | 34.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.76% | 71.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 12.4% 2-1 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.61% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 10.05% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.24% Total : 31.67% |