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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 44.15% | 27.55% | 28.3% |
| Both teams to score 46.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.68% | 58.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.06% | 78.94% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.73% | 26.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.62% | 61.38% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.64% | 36.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.85% | 73.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 12.76% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.14% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.65% 2-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.89% Total : 28.3% |