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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Morecambe

Port Vale
1 - 0
Morecambe

Smith (34')
Oyeleke (14'), Brisley (26'), Rodney (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lavelle (34')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Morecambe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
43.37%27.71%28.92%
Both teams to score 46.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38%58.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.82%79.17%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19%26.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9%62.1%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.97%36.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19%72.81%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 43.36%
    Morecambe 28.92%
    Draw 27.71%
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 12.71%
2-1 @ 8.54%
2-0 @ 8.37%
3-1 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 43.36%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 9.66%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 9.86%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 2.26%
0-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 28.92%

Head to Head
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Morecambe
1-0
Port Vale
Phillips (76' pen.)
Gibson (85'), O'Sullivan (90+5')

Legge (77')
Jan 14, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Morecambe
2-1
Port Vale
Old (6'), Stockton (12')
Kenyon (76')
Gibbons (71')
Legge (28')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Port Vale
3-1
Morecambe
Joyce (49'), Pope (68', 90')
Crookes (73')
O'Sullivan (18')
Brewitt (45'), Alessandra (48'), Lavelle (76')
Cranston (32')
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 33
Port Vale
0-1
Morecambe

Kay (68'), Hannant (72')
Collins (75')
Kenyon (31'), Mendes Gomes (63'), Cranston (72')
Dec 8, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 21
Morecambe
2-2
Port Vale
Leitch-Smith (27'), Oswell (40')
Ellison (83'), Mandeville (93')
Kay (83'), Pope (87')
Montano (49'), Rawlinson (85'), Quigley (92')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15BarrowBarrow196581818023
16Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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