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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Morecambe |
| 43.37% | 27.71% | 28.92% |
| Both teams to score 46.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.38% | 58.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.82% | 79.17% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% | 26.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% | 62.1% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.97% | 36.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.19% | 72.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% 2-1 @ 8.54% 2-0 @ 8.37% 3-1 @ 3.75% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.36% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.71% | 0-1 @ 9.86% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.95% Total : 28.92% |