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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 44.66% | 27.47% | 27.87% |
| Both teams to score 46.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.77% | 58.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.13% | 78.87% |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% | 25.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.02% | 60.98% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% | 36.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.55% | 73.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 12.83% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 1.84% Total : 27.87% |