Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 44.82% | 26.97% | 28.2% |
| Both teams to score 48.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.72% | 56.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.68% | 77.32% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% | 59.66% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.66% | 35.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.9% | 72.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 4.08% 3-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.36% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.97% | 0-1 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.06% Total : 28.2% |