Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 21.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 53.29% | 25.15% | 21.56% |
| Both teams to score 47.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.58% | 54.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.21% | 75.79% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% | 20.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.14% | 52.86% |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.74% | 40.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.11% | 76.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% 2-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.44% 3-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 5% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.57% Total : 53.28% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.48% 1-2 @ 5.41% 0-2 @ 3.4% 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.3% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.3% Total : 21.56% |