National League | Gameweek 50

May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK

Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
3 - 1
Aldershot

Wilson (8'), John (45+2'), Olaofe (73')
John (26'), Ajiboye (50')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Miller (23')
Nouble (45+1'), Kinsella (59')

Coverage of the National League clash between Sutton United and Aldershot Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 50.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Aldershot Town
50.16%	25.36%	24.48%

Both teams to score 50.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.46%

52.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.8%

74.2%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.04%

20.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.29%

53.71%

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.57%

36.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.79%

73.22%

Score Analysis

Sutton United 50.16%

Aldershot Town 24.48%

Draw 25.35%

Sutton United	Draw	Aldershot Town
1-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 9.32% 3-1 @ 4.9% 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.49% Total : 50.16%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 7.71% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.84% Total : 24.48%

Sutton3 - 1Aldershot

Data Analysis

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Sutton
3 - 1
Aldershot