Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 15.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.45%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Barnet win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Aldershot Town |
15.34% | 22.42% | 62.24% |
Both teams to score 44.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.59% | 52.41% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.9% | 74.09% |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.53% | 46.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.92% | 82.08% |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.65% | 16.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.04% | 45.96% |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Aldershot Town |
1-0 @ 5.82% 2-1 @ 4.04% 2-0 @ 2.23% 3-1 @ 1.03% 3-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.28% Total : 15.34% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 7.6% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.62% Total : 22.41% | 0-1 @ 13.75% 0-2 @ 12.45% 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-3 @ 7.52% 1-3 @ 5.76% 0-4 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-5 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 1% 1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.79% Total : 62.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chesterfield | 39 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 95 | 51 | 44 | 92 |
2 | Barnet | 38 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 17 | 68 |
3 | Bromley | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 18 | 11 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 65 |
5 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 19 | 6 | 14 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 63 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 54 | 17 | 61 |
7 | Gateshead | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 60 |
8 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 39 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 59 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 59 |
10 | Rochdale | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 52 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 51 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 58 | 54 | 4 | 49 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 58 | 66 | -8 | 48 |
14 | Woking | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 47 |
15 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 47 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 46 |
17 | Fylde | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 66 | 73 | -7 | 46 |
18 | Eastleigh | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 65 | 78 | -13 | 46 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 45 |
20 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 39 | 10 | 14 | 15 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 44 |
21 | York City | 40 | 9 | 16 | 15 | 48 | 65 | -17 | 43 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 40 | 10 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 42 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 39 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 47 | 67 | -20 | 42 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 40 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 50 | 85 | -35 | 29 |
> National League Full Table |