Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (12.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Sutton United |
| 33.23% | 29.88% | 36.9% |
| Both teams to score 42.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.2% | 64.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.25% | 83.75% |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% | 36.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% | 72.94% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.34% | 33.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.69% | 70.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 12.38% 2-1 @ 6.86% 2-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.96% Total : 33.23% | 1-1 @ 13.48% 0-0 @ 12.17% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.88% | 0-1 @ 13.25% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 7.22% 1-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.89% |