Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Sutton United |
| 28.93% | 28.55% | 42.52% |
| Both teams to score 44.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.52% | 61.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.65% | 81.35% |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.41% | 37.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.63% | 74.36% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% | 28.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% | 64.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 6.44% 2-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.71% Total : 28.92% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 13.45% 0-2 @ 8.42% 1-2 @ 8.24% 0-3 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.1% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.61% Total : 42.52% |