Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 41.66% | 28.21% | 30.13% |
| Both teams to score 46.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.08% | 59.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.82% | 80.17% |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% | 28.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.92% | 64.08% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% | 35.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.43% | 72.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 12.79% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.7% Total : 41.66% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2% Total : 30.13% |