Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
