Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 47.51% | 25.76% | 26.72% |
| Both teams to score 51.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.83% | 74.16% |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% | 22.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.54% | 55.46% |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.5% | 34.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.78% | 71.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 12.24% 0-0 @ 7.62% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.11% 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-2 @ 4.32% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.72% |