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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 45.01% | 26.48% | 28.5% |
| Both teams to score 50.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.71% | 54.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.32% | 75.68% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% | 24.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.71% | 58.29% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% | 34.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.27% | 70.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 4.26% 3-0 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.01% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.18% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.81% 1-2 @ 6.77% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.3% Total : 28.5% |