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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Exeter City |
| 23.3% | 26.96% | 49.74% |
| Both teams to score 44.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.72% | 59.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.31% | 79.69% |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.7% | 41.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.18% | 77.82% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% | 23.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.77% | 58.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% 2-1 @ 5.53% 2-0 @ 3.87% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-2 @ 1.16% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.21% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 14.14% 0-2 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 8.93% 0-3 @ 4.81% 1-3 @ 4.25% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-4 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.41% Total : 49.73% |
