Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
