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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 35.64% | 27.43% | 36.93% |
| Both teams to score 49.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.91% | 56.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.83% | 77.16% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.98% | 30.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.86% | 66.13% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% | 29.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.82% | 65.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.63% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 8.77% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 7.99% 0-2 @ 6.64% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.93% |