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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 49.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.57%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 24.31% | 26.09% | 49.6% |
| Both teams to score 47.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.56% | 55.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.36% | 76.63% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.81% | 38.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.05% | 74.95% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% | 22.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.09% | 55.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 5.93% 2-0 @ 3.96% 3-1 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.42% 3-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.58% Total : 24.31% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 12.79% 0-2 @ 9.57% 1-2 @ 9.22% 0-3 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 4.6% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-4 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.93% Total : 49.6% |