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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 46.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 46.17% | 28.49% | 25.34% |
| Both teams to score 42.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.09% | 62.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.6% | 82.4% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.63% | 27.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.17% | 62.83% |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.54% | 41.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.04% | 77.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 14.7% 2-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 8.39% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.72% Total : 46.17% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.48% | 0-1 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.21% Total : 25.34% |