League Two Gameweek 5
Hartlepool
Aug 28, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Carlisle
  • Tyler Burey 13' goal
  • Gavan Holohan 69' goal
  • Gary Liddle 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zach Clough 3'
  • goal Zach Clough 38'
  • yellowcard Callum Guy 67'

Hartlepool United vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
Hartlepool 2 - 0 Walsall
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Luke Molyneux

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
Carlisle 1 - 1 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Omari Patrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Hartlepool United 34.74%
Draw 27.68%
Carlisle United 37.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.72%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.92%
Under 2.5 57.08%
Over 3.5 22.04%
Under 3.5 77.96%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5 68.92%
Under 0.5 31.08%
Over 1.5 32.6%
Under 1.5 67.41%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 70.69%
Under 0.5 29.31%
Over 1.5 34.72%
Under 1.5 65.28%

Score analysis

Hartlepool United 34.73%
Draw 27.67%
Carlisle United 37.59%
Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 7.63%
2-0 @ 6.22%
3-1 @ 2.97%
3-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.11%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.67%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 11.18%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 6.86%
1-3 @ 3.28%
0-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 37.59%

Head to Head

League Two
Hartlepool
Apr 14, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Carlisle
  • Rhys Oates 64' goal
  • Liam Donnelly 81' yellowcard
  • goal Jabo Ibehre 7'
  • yellowcard Luke Joyce 19'
  • yellowcard Jamie Proctor 43'
  • yellowcard Jabo Ibehre 78'
  • yellowcard Jamie Devitt 85'
League Two
Carlisle
Oct 15, 2016 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Hartlepool
  • Jabo Ibehre 20' goal
  • Shaun Miller 29' yellowcard
  • Shaun Miller 56' redcard
  • Danny Grainger 63' yellowcard
  • Danny Grainger 68' goal
  • Michael Raynes 79' goal
  • goal Lewis Alessandra 66'
  • goal Padraig Amond 75'
League Two
Carlisle
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Hartlepool
  • Hallam Hope 55' goal
  • yellowcard Nicky Featherstone 94'
League Two
Hartlepool
Aug 29, 2015 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
Carlisle
  • Scott Harrison 6' goal
  • Billy Paynter 70' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Miller 41'
  • yellowcard Steven Rigg 56'
  • goal Jabo Ibehre 57'
  • yellowcard Jabo Ibehre 62'
  • yellowcard Troy Archibald-Henville 68'
  • yellowcard Jason Kennedy 70'
  • goal Tom Miller 76'
  • goal Jabo Ibehre 84'
League Two
Carlisle
May 2, 2015 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 0
FT
Hartlepool
  • Kyle Dempsey 25' goal
  • Steven Rigg 31' goal
  • Jason Kennedy 33' goal
  • goal Jordan Hugill 63'
  • goal Michael Duckworth 64'
  • goal Jordan Hugill 86'
League Two
Hartlepool
Oct 4, 2014 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Carlisle
  • Darren Holden 30' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Troy Acrhibald-Henville 17'
  • yellowcard Danny Grainger 29'
  • goal Steven Rigg 54'
  • goal Stephen Elliott 82'
  • goal Mark Beck 89'

Form Data

Hartlepool 2 - 0 Walsall
Barrow 3 - 2 Hartlepool
Hartlepool 0 - 1 Crewe
Hartlepool 1 - 0 Crawley
Hartlepool 1 - 1 Torquay Utd
Stockport 0 - 1 Hartlepool
Carlisle 1 - 1 Leyton Orient
Port Vale 0 - 0 Carlisle
Swindon 1 - 2 Carlisle
Sheff Utd 1 - 0 Carlisle
Carlisle 0 - 0 Colchester
Carlisle 0 - 1 Blackpool