League Two

League Two | Gameweek 5

Aug 28, 2021 at 3pm UK

Victoria Park

Hartlepool
2 - 1
Carlisle

Burey (13'), Holohan (69')
Liddle (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Clough (38')
Clough (3'), Guy (67')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Carlisle United
34.74%	27.68%	37.59%

Both teams to score 48.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.92%

57.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.04%

77.96%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92%

31.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.6%

67.41%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69%

29.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.72%

65.28%

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 34.73%

Carlisle United 37.59%

Draw 27.67%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 2.97% 3-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.73%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.11% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.67%	0-1 @ 11.18% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 6.86% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.52% Total : 37.59%

League Two

Hartlepool2 - 1Carlisle

Data Analysis

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