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Championship header 2

League Two

Leyton Orient
League Two | Gameweek 45
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
Matchroom Stadium
Carlisle United

Leyton Orient
2 - 3
Carlisle

Wilkinson (3'), Kemp (45+3')
Happe (18'), Dennis (62'), Clay (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mellish (42'), Alessandra (54' pen.), Tanner (90+1')
Walker (80'), Mellish (89')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Leyton Orient and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
32.21%27.21%40.58%
Both teams to score 49.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.27%55.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.13%76.87%
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91%32.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.44%68.56%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04%26.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7%62.29%
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 32.21%
    Carlisle United 40.57%
    Draw 27.2%
Leyton OrientDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.65%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 11.33%
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 7.43%
1-3 @ 3.69%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 40.57%

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