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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hartlepool United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 45.32% | 27.18% | 27.49% |
| Both teams to score 47.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.6% | 57.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.79% | 78.21% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% | 25.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.99% | 60.01% |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.49% | 36.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.7% | 73.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.69% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.73% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.26% Total : 45.32% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 9.29% 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.68% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 1.86% Total : 27.49% |