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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 29.29% | 28.14% | 42.57% |
| Both teams to score 45.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.02% | 59.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.78% | 80.23% |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% | 36.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.73% | 73.27% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% | 27.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.52% | 63.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-0 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.88% Total : 29.28% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 12.99% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 8.3% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 1.8% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.76% Total : 42.57% |