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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 45.85% | 26.85% | 27.29% |
| Both teams to score 48.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.69% | 56.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.65% | 77.34% |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% | 24.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.02% | 58.97% |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% | 36.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.13% | 72.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 8.74% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.45% Total : 45.84% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 6.46% 0-2 @ 4.59% 1-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 1.92% Total : 27.29% |