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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 40.61% | 26.05% | 33.33% |
| Both teams to score 53.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.21% | 50.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.32% | 72.68% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% | 24.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.79% | 59.2% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% | 28.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% | 64.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.65% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.85% 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 5.5% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.33% |