League One

League One | Gameweek 14

Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Whaddon Road

Cheltenham
3 - 1
Morecambe

Sercombe (26'), Joseph (65', 68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Phillips (38')
O'Connor (52'), Gnahoua (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Morecambe
38.03%	26.56%	35.41%

Both teams to score 52.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.39%

52.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.73%

74.26%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.08%

26.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.76%

62.24%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.54%

28.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.78%

64.21%

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 38.03%

Morecambe 35.41%

Draw 26.56%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.03%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.66% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 9.63% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.41%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Morecambe

Cheltenham Town

18.2%

Draw

31.8%

Morecambe

50.0%