League One Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Liam Sercombe 26' goal
  • Kyle Joseph 65' goal
  • Kyle Joseph 68' goal
  • goal Adam Phillips 38'
  • yellowcard Anthony O'Connor 52'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gnahoua 74'

Cheltenham Town vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 16, 2021 3.00pm
Cheltenham 1 - 0 Accrington
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Alfie May

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Oct 15, 2021 7.45pm
Burton Albion 3 - 2 Morecambe
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Cole Stockton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result

Cheltenham Town 38.03%
Draw 26.56%
Morecambe 35.41%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.29%

Goals

Over 2.5 47.39%
Under 2.5 52.61%
Over 3.5 25.73%
Under 3.5 74.26%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 73.08%
Under 0.5 26.91%
Over 1.5 37.76%
Under 1.5 62.24%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 71.54%
Under 0.5 28.45%
Over 1.5 35.78%
Under 1.5 64.21%

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 38.03%
Draw 26.56%
Morecambe 35.41%
Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 38.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.66%
2-2 @ 5.21%
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 26.56%
Morecambe
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.41%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Globe Arena
  • Liam McAlinden 20' goal
League Two Gameweek 1
Sep 12, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Alfie May 28' goal
  • yellowcard Harry Davis 40'
  • goal Adam Phillips 78'
  • goal Carlos Mendes Gomes 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 1, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Conor Thomas 32' goal
  • Alfie May 35' goal
  • Charlie Raglan 44' yellowcard
  • Luke Varney 64' yellowcard
  • Ryan Broom 92' yellowcard
  • Jake Doyle-Hayes 96' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Kenyon 71'
  • goal AJ Leitch-Smith 84'
  • yellowcard Aaron Wildig 87'
  • yellowcard Cole Stockton 98'
League Two Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Barry Roche 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Long 58'
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2019 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Globe Arena (Morecambe, Lancashire)
  • Vadaine Oliver 49' goal
  • Kevin Ellison 53' goal
  • Sam Lavelle 81' goal
  • Aaron Collins 85' goal
  • yellowcard Conor Thomas 75'
  • yellowcard Rakish Bingham 80'
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium (Cheltenham, Gloucestershire)
  • Luke Varney 44' goal
  • Luke Varney 90' goal
  • goal Jordan Cranston 32'
  • goal Rhys Oates 54'