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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 29.56% | 27.01% | 43.42% |
| Both teams to score 49.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.17% | 55.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.05% | 76.96% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% | 34.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.27% | 70.73% |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% | 25.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.65% | 60.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 6.89% 2-0 @ 5.04% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 1.81% 3-2 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.31% Total : 29.56% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.7% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 11.86% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-2 @ 8.11% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.36% 0-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.42% |