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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 33.8% | 25.65% | 40.54% |
| Both teams to score 55.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% | 48.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% | 71.07% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% | 27.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% | 63.24% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% | 23.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.88% | 58.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 8.5% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 5.46% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.89% Total : 33.8% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 9.47% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-2 @ 6.78% 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.54% |