League Two Gameweek 15
Northampton
Oct 30, 2021 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Carlisle
  • Paul Lewis 41' goal
  • Paul Lewis 57' goal
  • Paul Lewis 67' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Armer 66'
  • yellowcard Callum Guy 82'

Northampton Town vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
Tranmere 0 - 2 Northampton
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
Carlisle 0 - 0 Oldham
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Omari Patrick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result

Northampton Town 38.99%
Draw 27.72%
Carlisle United 33.29%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.38%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.6%
Under 2.5 57.4%
Over 3.5 21.78%
Under 3.5 78.22%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.36%
Under 0.5 28.64%
Over 1.5 35.55%
Under 1.5 64.45%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 67.8%
Under 0.5 32.2%
Over 1.5 31.31%
Under 1.5 68.69%

Score analysis

Northampton Town 38.99%
Draw 27.71%
Carlisle United 33.29%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 38.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.22%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.71%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.29%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 39
Northampton
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Sixfields Stadium
Carlisle
League Two Gameweek 15
Carlisle
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Northampton
  • goal Scott Pollock 51'
  • yellowcard Billy Waters 58'
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 76'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 92'
League Two Gameweek 28
Northampton
Jan 12, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium (Northampton, East Midlands)
Carlisle
  • Jack Bridge 48' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 54' yellowcard
  • Jack Bridge 62' goal
  • Junior Morias 72' goal
  • yellowcard Kelvin Etuhu 32'
  • yellowcard Hallam Hope 77'
League Two Gameweek 2
Carlisle
Aug 11, 2018 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Brunton Park (Carlisle, Cumbria)
Northampton
  • Gary Liddle 10' yellowcard
  • Jamie Devitt 30' goal
  • Hallam Hope 63' goal
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 8'
  • yellowcard Aaron Pierre 28'
  • goal Kevin van Veen 40'
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 45'
  • goal Matt Crooks 62'
League Two
Carlisle
Mar 5, 2016 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Northampton
  • Bastien Hery 45' yellowcard
  • Hallam Hope 47' goal
  • David Atkinson 65' yellowcard
  • goal John Marquis 16'
  • goal John-Joe O'Toole 33'
  • yellowcard David Buchanan 45'
  • goal John-Joe O'Toole 59'
  • goal James Collins 74'
  • yellowcard John Marquis 82'
League Two
Northampton
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Carlisle
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 45' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 47' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 63' goal
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin 82' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Gilliead 29'
  • yellowcard Troy Archibald-Henville 38'
  • yellowcard Tom Miller 53'
  • goal Charlie Wyke 92'

Form Data

Tranmere 0 - 2 Northampton
Northampton 3 - 0 Stevenage
Northampton 2 - 0 Mansfield
Hartlepool 2 - 1 Northampton
Northampton 1 - 1 Walsall
Northampton 0 - 2 Sutton
Carlisle 0 - 0 Oldham
Newport 2 - 2 Carlisle
Carlisle 0 - 1 Tranmere
Bristol Rovers 3 - 0 Carlisle
Carlisle 0 - 2 Forest Green
Carlisle 2 - 0 Everton U21s