Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.