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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 36.11%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.27%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 34.09% | 29.8% | 36.11% |
| Both teams to score 42.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.5% | 64.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.46% | 83.53% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% | 35.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% | 72.14% |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% | 34.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.31% | 70.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% 2-1 @ 7.01% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.1% Total : 34.08% | 1-1 @ 13.48% 0-0 @ 12.03% 2-2 @ 3.78% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.79% | 0-1 @ 12.97% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 7% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.1% |