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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 9, 2021 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Northampton Town

Hartlepool
2 - 1
Northampton

Ferguson (53'), Molyneux (83')
Ferguson (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hoskins (51')
Hoskins (66'), McGowan (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 46.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
46.8%27.42%25.78%
Both teams to score 45.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.81%59.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.38%79.61%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66%25.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88%60.11%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.04%38.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.31%75.68%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 46.8%
    Northampton Town 25.78%
    Draw 27.42%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.55%
2-0 @ 9.3%
2-1 @ 8.77%
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-2 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-1 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 46.8%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 9.87%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-2 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 1.89%
0-3 @ 1.38%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 25.78%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Northampton

Hartlepool United
44.8%
Draw
37.9%
Northampton Town
17.2%
29
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2016 3pm
Oct 10, 2015 3pm
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Northampton
5-1
Hartlepool
Richards (12' pen., 76'), Mohamed (20', 35'), D'Ath (67')
Wyke (1')
Feb 22, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall18114334191537
2Port Vale1910542619735
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster199642822633
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe188732216631
5Grimsby Town1910182728-131
6AFC Wimbledon1893630161430
7MK Dons1793530191130
8Chesterfield1977533231028
9Notts County187742518728
10Gillingham188281916326
11Bradford CityBradford186752319425
12Salford City186661719-224
13BarrowBarrow186571817123
14Bromley185852323023
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham196582528-323
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood175752322122
17Newport CountyNewport186482128-722
18Colchester UnitedColchester184952322121
19Harrogate TownHarrogate1963101628-1221
20Accrington StanleyAccrington184682533-818
21Tranmere RoversTranmere184681225-1318
22Swindon TownSwindon193792333-1016
23Morecambe1935111934-1514
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514


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