League Two

League Two | Gameweek 11

Oct 9, 2021 at 3pm UK

Victoria Park

Hartlepool
2 - 1
Northampton

Ferguson (53'), Molyneux (83')
Ferguson (56')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hoskins (51')
Hoskins (66'), McGowan (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 46.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Northampton Town
46.8%	27.42%	25.78%

Both teams to score 45.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.81%

59.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.38%

79.61%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66%

25.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88%

60.11%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.04%

38.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.31%

75.68%

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 46.8%

Northampton Town 25.78%

Draw 27.42%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 13.55% 2-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 8.77% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.8%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.5% Total : 25.78%