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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 38.14% | 29.53% | 32.32% |
| Both teams to score 43.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.18% | 63.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.94% | 83.05% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% | 32.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.13% | 68.86% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.72% | 36.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.94% | 73.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 13.24% 2-1 @ 7.58% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.74% Total : 38.14% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.53% | 0-1 @ 11.9% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.94% Total : 32.32% |