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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.1%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 46.74% | 29.51% | 23.75% |
| Both teams to score 38.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.21% | 66.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.88% | 85.12% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% | 28.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% | 64.85% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.76% | 45.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.88% | 81.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 16.23% 2-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 7.98% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.39% Total : 46.73% | 0-0 @ 13.1% 1-1 @ 12.87% 2-2 @ 3.17% Other @ 0.37% Total : 29.5% | 0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 4.12% 1-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.69% Total : 23.75% |