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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 28.34% | 27.39% | 44.27% |
| Both teams to score 47.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.27% | 57.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.53% | 78.47% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% | 36.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.21% | 72.79% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% | 25.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.07% | 60.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 1.95% Total : 28.34% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 12.6% 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-2 @ 8.51% 1-3 @ 3.91% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.27% |