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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 21.22% | 24.65% | 54.13% |
| Both teams to score 48.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.1% | 52.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% | 74.51% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% | 39.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.58% | 76.42% |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% | 19.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.64% | 51.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 7.15% 2-1 @ 5.39% 2-0 @ 3.3% 3-1 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.36% 3-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.36% Total : 21.22% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 12.66% 0-2 @ 10.35% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-3 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 5.21% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-4 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 2.13% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.86% Total : 54.11% |