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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Gillingham |
| 35.91% | 27.18% | 36.92% |
| Both teams to score 50.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.93% | 55.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.67% | 76.33% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% | 29.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% | 65.33% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% | 28.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% | 64.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 7.9% 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.9% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.43% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 10.51% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.91% |