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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Gillingham |
| 49.04% | 25.21% | 25.75% |
| Both teams to score 51.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.05% | 50.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.18% | 72.82% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% | 20.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.55% | 53.45% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% | 34.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% | 71.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.57% Total : 49.03% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.63% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.18% Total : 25.75% |