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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Gillingham |
| 56.96% | 23.76% | 19.28% |
| Both teams to score 48.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.26% | 51.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.49% | 73.51% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.02% | 17.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.18% | 48.82% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.85% | 41.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.31% | 77.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 12.69% 2-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 6.23% 3-1 @ 5.53% 4-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-2 @ 1.05% 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.45% Total : 56.95% | 1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 6.57% 1-2 @ 5% 0-2 @ 2.92% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.28% |